Randy Johnson to San Fran

Randy Johnson is the newest San Francisco Giant. This move doesn’t overly interest me, because he just needed a home to get his 300th win and retire (obvious, since it is a one-year contract). However, this makes the Giants more interesting. Their rotation is now this:

Tim Lincecum: Reigning Cy Young winner

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Matt Cain: Great potential, age 24 and has 3 full seasons under his belt. Career 3.74 ERA.

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Randy Johnson: We all know his credentials. Sometimes dominant, sometimes not so in ’08.

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Barry Zito: Here’s a big if. I don’t even know what will happen with this dude.

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Noah Lowry: Missed all of last year, but had a 14-8 ’07 and a 3.78 ERA in ’05. He’s still 28, though.

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or

Jonathan Sanchez: 26-year old had his first year starting last year: He went 9-12 with a 5.01 ERA.

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Here are your if’s: If Johnson has his good days more often than his bad, if Zito bounces back in any fashion, if Lowry recovers well, or if Sanchez actually does well, the Giants could actually have a good rotation for once. However, competing would rely on having a lineup that can produce anything. Honestly, I have no idea what the hell the Giants are trying to do. They could be trying to just sell tickets, but they could sell a lot more in the future if they build for it. If they decide to stick with this lineup this year, they best make some changes for ’10:

C Bengie Molina: 34 years old

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1B Travis Ishikawa: 25 years old

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2B Emmanuel Burriss: 23 years old

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3B Pablo Sandoval: 22 years old

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SS Edgar Renteria: 33 years old

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RF Randy Winn: 34 years old

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CF Aaron Rowand: 31 years old

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LF Fred Lewis: 28 years old

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This also includes backup outfielder Dave Roberts, 36, reliever Bob Howry, 35, reliever Jack Taschner, 30, and reliever Keiichi Yabu, 40. Oh yeah, and just so you know, Zito is 30 and Johnson is 45. That’s a pretty old team, with the necessary injection of young, totally untested rookies and journeymen. Honestly, with a team like this, I can’t help but be an armchair GM (I am with any team, but especially bad ones like this). Giants, this is what you need to do in the 2009 offseason if you can’t save yourselves now:

Trade Randy Winn to the Cubs for 1B Micah Hoffpauir and OF Joey Gathright

He would play center field: Reed Johnson is on the downside of his unremarkable career, and Felix Pie has had enough chances. Winn should be young enough for the Cubs to be happy to get him, and the Giants should get something in exchange for him before his contract expires. Hoffpauir is 28, but he is a better player than Ishikawa, and is young enough that he would ensure first base for several years. The Giants are also a very slow team, and Gathright, the man with one career home run, is 27 and will inject some youth and LOTS of speed into the lineup.

AaronRowand.JPG

Trade Aaron Rowand, Merkin Valdez, and Noah Lowry to the Braves for CF Josh Anderson, RP Rafael Soriano, and RHP Tommy Hanson

 The Braves seem to be in win-now mode (as displayed by the Javier Vazquez trade), so they need a more experienced centerfielder than Anderson. The hard-nosed Rowand, at 31, is young enough to give them some good years, enough to convince them. The one-dimensional  Valdez, a fireballer, would be the clincher, someone who would help fill the gap left by two-pitch setup man Soriano, facing right-handed hitters. The young Hanson is one of the top prospects in the Braves system, and if this trade doesn’t cut it for Atlanta to give him up, I would throw in reliever Bob Howry or some other reliever. Lowry would help the Braves with their current mentality. This trade would help the Braves now and the Giants in the long-term.

Sign Matt Holliday.

They need a left fielder (Fred Lewis could compete with Nate Schierholtz for right field once Winn’s gone), and Holliday would give them a legit power threat in the lineup and several excellent, MVP-type years if he stays on pace.

 

Let Randy Johnson and Dave Roberts go for draft picks–if they don’t retire.

Pretty much self-explanatory. Probably draft a pitcher and a third baseman.

Re-sign Bengie Molina for two years–as long as you acquire a young catcher prospect to go along with it.

The Giants pitchers are comfortable with Molina, and he’s still got some left in the tank, as shown by his .292-16-95 season. However, a young prospect backup catcher is necessary for a two-year deal to have some insurance.

Trade Nate Schierholtz or Fred Lewis–whoever doesn’t win the right-field job to the Yankees for C Francisco Cervelli.

 All of the Yankees’ outfielders are either aging or underperforming, and they would probably prefer Lewis for his speed and good average. The Giants, as I said above, need a young backup catcher who Molina can mentor.

KEEP MADISON BUMGARNER.

He is an excellent young player, and is vital to the Giants’ future.He could also give them a great rotation in Lincecum, Cain, Bumgarner, Hanson, and Barry Zito as a weak spot.

Trade Brian Wilson and Kevin Frandsen to the White Sox for RP Bobby Jenks.

Jenks is on the trading block constantly. Wilson had a fluky 41-save season with a 4.62 ERA. Frandsen, author of a promising 2007 before missing all of ’08, may be hard to part with, but it will be worth it in the end. Jenks had a 30 save season with a 2.63 ERA, and he’s still 27.

Let Edgar Renteria go for draft picks when his contract expires.

His contract will expire in ’10, and that would be a good chance to have a higher draft pick for your biggest need: a third baseman.

Sign Chone Figgins to fill the third base void until you develop a better option.

Figgins gives you an excellent leadoff option, unbeatable versatility, and good fielding.

Sign one or two of these guys (Fernando Rodney, Salomon Torres, Billy Wagner, Kevin Gregg) for bullpen help.

Only sign Wagner or Torres if you begin competing earlier than expected, as they are aged to the point they don’t have several good years, like Rodney and Gregg, ahead of them. While these guys are not hugely talented, they could be valuble setup men to Jenks and help take steps toward a credible bullpen.

Hire or bribe the greatest pitching trainers and physicists in all the land to find out what the hell is wrong with Barry Zito.

 The guy was a great pitcher. He never put up huge win totals (except in ’01 and ’02), but he was almost always reliable for a quality start. He had an amazing curveball. Then–what happened? His velocity was never high, but it dropped to 82-83 on the fastball, and the effectiveness on his curveball dropped precipitously. There must be something he’s doing wrong that can be fixed.

This is a massive overhaul, but I am almost sure it will catapult you guys into contention by 2011. Here’s what the new roster would look like going into 2010.

STARTING POSITION PLAYERS

C        Bengie Molina player  (36 years old)

1B    Micah Hoffpauir  player (30 years old)

2B Emmanuel Burriss player (25 years old) 

3B       Chone Figgins player (32 years old)

SS      Edgar Renteria player (35 years old)

RF    Nate Schierholtz player (26 years old)

CF       Josh Anderson player (28 years old)

LF          Matt Holliday player (30 years old)

BENCH

C     Francisco Cervelli player (24 years old)

1B       Travis Ishikawa player (27 years old)

2B        Eugenio Velez player (28 years old)

CF        Joey Gathright player (29 years old)

ROTATION

#1 Starter

Tim Lincecum               player (26 years old)

#2 Starter

Matt Cain                     player (26 years old)

#3 Starter

Barry Zito                     player (32 years old)

#4 Starter

Tommy Hanson             (24 years old)

#5 Starter

Madison Bumgarner       (21 years old)

BULLPEN

Closer

Bobby Jenks                player (29 years old)

Setup Corps

Rafael Soriano              player (31 years old)

Fernando Rodney          player (33 years old)

Salamon Torres             player (38 years old)

That’s actually a pretty good team. I know you guys won’t be doing all of these, but do consider them and try to pull off some, if not most, of them.

The reason I haven’t posted a lot lately is because I’ve only had brief periods of time to be on my computer, so this post took me four days. I think I’ll be back to a regular schedule now, though.

Thank you (William H. Neukom, Brian Sabean, scouts, Bruce Bochy, the rest of the Giants organization, and readers) and goodnight.

7 Comments

I think you’re probably right about Randy Johnson. He just needs one more year to get his 300th win. Curt Schilling is looking for another year, but I don’t think he’ll be healthy enough to get it in.

Happy New Year!

Julia
http://werbiefitz.mlblogs.com/

That post looks like it took you four days, Neal. It was thorough, to say the least! Do you really want the Yankees to trade Cervelli? I want to see what he can do at the major league level. We’ll need another catcher, so why not hang onto him? As for Randy Johnson, I hope for the Giants’ sake that he’s less grouchy than he was on the Yanks.

- http://janeheller.mlblogs.com

Now THAT’S a serious blog post! It’s funny, right, how good the Giants staff looks on paper. Still shooting themselves in the foot for that bust of a Zito deal. The good news is they play in the NL West, a division my seven year old nephew could probably start in.
–Jeff
http://redstatebluestate.mlblogs.com/

Wow I must say you did put a lot of time and thoguht into this blog. I do give you a lot of credit for that., but some of your moves are not realalistic. I do a gree with some people that need to go but not the people you want to trade them for. Plus you wouldn’t sign Bengie to a 2 year contract. He’s going to be traded at the trading deadline. The Giants will have Buster Posey ready to start around that time as the Giants future catcher.

-King of Cali
http://kingofcali.mlblogs.com

To Jeff and Julia: Yup and Happy New Year.
Jane: I forgot to put this in the post: I know the Yankees need to have a young backup catcher as well, but that’s what we have Jesus Montero for.
King: Just wondering, which moves do you think are unrealistic? I didn’t know a lot about the Giants going into this post, and I’m still not an expert by any means. I know they wouldn’t do all of these, but it seemed like a good couple of ideas to me. And yes, I did get the Holliday idea from your quote on the MLB homepage. It’s a good one.

W-O-W. Some post. A lot of TTPs. Most of them are solid, but there is no way the Giants can get Tommy Hanson for just Rowand, Valdez, Lowry, and Howry. Let alone acquire Anderson and Soriano too.
If I were Brian Sabean (I’d fire myself), I would try my best to trade Renteria ASAP, even if I could only get a measly prospect in rookie ball. I’m not confident he will be good enough in 2010 to garner a Type A, B ranking.

Aaron
http://districtboy.mlblogs.com/

What we are today comes from our thoughts of yesterday and our present thoughts build our life tomorrow. Our life is the creation of our mind. Do you think so?
http://www.nicetick.com
Air Jordan

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